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Bagnaia vs. Martin - Who needs what result to win the 2023 MotoGP title?

So here it is, the 2023 MotoGP World Championship title comes down to just two riders, two teams and one very tense final race in Valencia.

Victory for Jorge Martin in Saturday’s Valencia MotoGP Sprint Race has whittled Pecco Bagnaia’s points’ lead down to 14-points with a maximum of 25 on the table for victory in Sunday’s full-length MotoGP race.

It means factory Ducati Lenovo Team Bagnaia remains the favourite to defend his title over Prima Pramac Ducati counterpart Martin… but in motorsport, nothing is guaranteed until the chequered flag is flown.


So what does each rider need to win the 2023 MotoGP World Championship title? 

Put simply, Martin MUST finish inside the top three to have a chance of overhauling Bagnaia

Alternatively, fifth place or higher will be enough for Bagnaia to WIN the 2023 title, no matter where Martin finishes 

Here are the other various permutations…

  • If Jorge Martin wins, Pecco Bagnaia must finish 5th or higher
  • If Martin is 2nd, Bagnaia must finish 8th or higher
  • If Martin is 3rd, Bagnaia must finish 13th or higher
  • If Martin is 4th or lower, Pecco Bagnaia is Champion no matter his result

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